Unemployment Dynamics: An Unobserved Components Approach

Abstract: The study uses a bivariate unobserved components model for output and the unemployment rate in order to examine stylised facts of the cyclical behaviour of unemployment and to estimate the size of persistence. The model is applied to the U.S ., Canada, and major European economies. Estimat...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Link(s) zu Dokument(en):IHS Publikation
1. Verfasser: Rünstler, Gerhard
Format: IHS Series NonPeerReviewed
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Institut für Höhere Studien 1998
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:Abstract: The study uses a bivariate unobserved components model for output and the unemployment rate in order to examine stylised facts of the cyclical behaviour of unemployment and to estimate the size of persistence. The model is applied to the U.S ., Canada, and major European economies. Estimates of cyclically adjusted unemployment rates are obtained that account for persistence effects and are subject to considerably smaller confidence bounds compared to approaches based on wage and price setting equations.;